Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania · NKL - Quarter-finals
Vytis VDUHOME · -
73 : 792023.04.02 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME36.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+63.6%
VALUE EDGE+63.6%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
185.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation11.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vytis VDU
L · 72-70W · 101-95W · 64-78W · 91-74L · 80-96
Mazeikiai
W · 72-70W · 70-60L · 89-74L · 83-67W · 71-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.06 | Mazeikiai | 77 : 101 | Vytis VDU |
| 2026.03.14 | Mazeikiai | 113 : 99 | Vytis VDU |
| 2026.01.20 | Vytis VDU | 83 : 82 | Mazeikiai |
| 2025.12.05 | Mazeikiai | 89 : 103 | Vytis VDU |
| 2023.04.05 | Mazeikiai | 87 : 73 | Vytis VDU |
| 2023.04.02 | Vytis VDU | 73 : 79 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.03.30 | Mazeikiai | 72 : 70 | Vytis VDU |
| 2023.02.24 | Vytis VDU | 99 : 95 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.01.27 | Mazeikiai | 74 : 69 | Vytis VDU |
| 2022.12.17 | Vytis VDU | 84 : 89 | Mazeikiai |