Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

Palangos KursiaiHOME · -

64 : 782023.03.19 · 종료

Vytis VDUAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY60.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +60.9%

VALUE EDGE+60.9%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEA

Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsVytis VDU

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

-1.17 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33

158.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.50

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation9.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

60.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Palangos Kursiai

L · 91-74W · 84-102W · 95-68L · 79-72L · 66-79

Vytis VDU

W · 91-74L · 80-96L · 107-74L · 76-79W · 63-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.22	Vytis VDU	101 : 95	Palangos Kursiai
2023.03.19	Palangos Kursiai	64 : 78	Vytis VDU
2023.03.16	Vytis VDU	91 : 74	Palangos Kursiai
2022.12.02	Vytis VDU	93 : 76	Palangos Kursiai
2022.10.14	Palangos Kursiai	78 : 80	Vytis VDU