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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Rytas 2HOME · -
94 : 862023.03.19 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.6%
VALUE EDGE+50.6%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Rytas 2Analysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-9.00 Point MarginHigher is better -11.08
163.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.42
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.2 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rytas 2
W · 79-84L · 75-96W · 74-83W · 79-97W · 112-75
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 79-84W · 63-90W · 88-84L · 76-67W · 79-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.13Ukmerges Stekas76 : 69Rytas 2
2026.02.07Ukmerges Stekas62 : 80Rytas 2
2025.02.22Rytas 284 : 97Ukmerges Stekas
2024.12.14Ukmerges Stekas68 : 59Rytas 2
2024.10.19Rytas 2101 : 85Ukmerges Stekas
2023.03.24Rytas 292 : 85Ukmerges Stekas
2023.03.22Ukmerges Stekas101 : 84Rytas 2
2023.03.19Rytas 294 : 86Ukmerges Stekas
2023.03.17Ukmerges Stekas79 : 84Rytas 2
2023.02.18Ukmerges Stekas101 : 81Rytas 2