Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
79 : 842023.03.17 · 종료
Rytas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsRytas 2
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.00
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 63-90W · 88-84L · 76-67W · 79-72W · 101-81
Rytas 2
L · 75-96W · 74-83W · 79-97W · 112-75L · 101-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 76 : 69 | Rytas 2 |
| 2026.02.07 | Ukmerges Stekas | 62 : 80 | Rytas 2 |
| 2025.02.22 | Rytas 2 | 84 : 97 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.12.14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 68 : 59 | Rytas 2 |
| 2024.10.19 | Rytas 2 | 101 : 85 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.24 | Rytas 2 | 92 : 85 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.22 | Ukmerges Stekas | 101 : 84 | Rytas 2 |
| 2023.03.19 | Rytas 2 | 94 : 86 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.17 | Ukmerges Stekas | 79 : 84 | Rytas 2 |
| 2023.02.18 | Ukmerges Stekas | 101 : 81 | Rytas 2 |