Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
109 : 842023.03.17 · 종료
Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-13.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
4.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
W · 80-96L · 63-86L · 53-75L · 74-87L · 63-88
Delikatesas Joniskis
W · 86-77L · 95-68W · 74-89W · 76-67L · 81-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.28 | Kauno Atletas | 98 : 72 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2023.03.25 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 71 : 63 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.03.24 | Kauno Atletas | 85 : 84 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2023.03.19 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 81 : 70 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2023.03.17 | Kauno Atletas | 109 : 84 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2023.01.13 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 70 : 75 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.11.11 | Kauno Atletas | 88 : 75 | Delikatesas Joniskis |