Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Vytis VDUHOME · -
91 : 742023.03.16 · 종료
Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.92
185.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.75
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vytis VDU
L · 80-96L · 107-74L · 76-79W · 63-72L · 79-66
Palangos Kursiai
W · 84-102W · 95-68L · 79-72L · 66-79W · 74-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.22 | Vytis VDU | 101 : 95 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2023.03.19 | Palangos Kursiai | 64 : 78 | Vytis VDU |
| 2023.03.16 | Vytis VDU | 91 : 74 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.12.02 | Vytis VDU | 93 : 76 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.10.14 | Palangos Kursiai | 78 : 80 | Vytis VDU |