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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
77 : 722023.03.12 · 종료
Suduva-MantingaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.0%
VALUE EDGE+62.0%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADES
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsSuduva-Mantinga
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better +13.75
191.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 63-86W · 66-82W · 94-75L · 63-72L · 71-62
Suduva-Mantinga
W · 89-74W · 107-74W · 53-75W · 86-57L · 75-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10Zalgiris Kaunas 294 : 106Suduva-Mantinga
2026.02.21Zalgiris Kaunas 283 : 81Suduva-Mantinga
2026.02.06Zalgiris Kaunas 280 : 94Suduva-Mantinga
2025.11.28Suduva-Mantinga89 : 76Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2025.03.19Zalgiris Kaunas 287 : 72Suduva-Mantinga
2025.03.16Suduva-Mantinga78 : 81Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2025.03.13Zalgiris Kaunas 262 : 71Suduva-Mantinga
2025.02.14Zalgiris Kaunas 256 : 79Suduva-Mantinga
2025.01.17Zalgiris Kaunas 288 : 71Suduva-Mantinga
2024.11.01Suduva-Mantinga79 : 88Zalgiris Kaunas 2