Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

Delikatesas JoniskisHOME · -

86 : 772023.03.12 · 종료

Neptunas 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY27.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +72.7%

VALUE EDGE+72.7%

FAIR ODDS1.38

GRADEB

Delikatesas JoniskisAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-6.00 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42

180.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.58

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

72.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

27.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Delikatesas Joniskis

L · 95-68W · 74-89W · 76-67L · 81-105L · 112-75

Neptunas 2

W · 92-77L · 74-83L · 95-71L · 74-83W · 68-79

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.08	Neptunas 2	77 : 95	Delikatesas Joniskis
2025.01.18	Delikatesas Joniskis	98 : 92	Neptunas 2
2024.11.02	Neptunas 2	102 : 79	Delikatesas Joniskis
2023.03.12	Delikatesas Joniskis	86 : 77	Neptunas 2
2023.02.04	Neptunas 2	65 : 81	Delikatesas Joniskis