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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
63 : 862023.03.10 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-13.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 191.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
L · 53-75L · 74-87L · 63-88W · 67-71L · 72-62
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 66-82W · 94-75L · 63-72L · 71-62W · 73-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.16Zalgiris Kaunas 2107 : 83Kauno Atletas
2023.03.10Kauno Atletas63 : 86Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2023.02.12Zalgiris Kaunas 272 : 62Kauno Atletas
2022.12.02Kauno Atletas68 : 72Zalgiris Kaunas 2