Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania

TelsiaiHOME · -
83 : 672023.03.05 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.7%
VALUE EDGE+50.7%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.9 / 15
Prediction separation0.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
L · 94-75W · 79-66W · 74-87W · 75-74L · 80-67
Mazeikiai
W · 71-62L · 99-95W · 63-88L · 67-71W · 71-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Telsiai | 83 : 72 | Mazeikiai |
| 2026.03.06 | Mazeikiai | 74 : 86 | Telsiai |
| 2025.12.12 | Mazeikiai | 75 : 60 | Telsiai |
| 2025.10.10 | Telsiai | 93 : 92 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.03.05 | Telsiai | 83 : 67 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.02.03 | Mazeikiai | 72 : 71 | Telsiai |
| 2023.01.13 | Mazeikiai | 76 : 67 | Telsiai |
| 2022.11.11 | Telsiai | 85 : 69 | Mazeikiai |