Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
88 : 842023.03.05 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEB
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 76-67W · 79-72W · 101-81L · 93-83L · 80-64
Vilkaviskis
W · 95-71W · 81-105L · 91-73W · 93-61W · 80-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.06 | Vilkaviskis | 97 : 74 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2026.01.30 | Vilkaviskis | 78 : 63 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.10.03 | Ukmerges Stekas | 72 : 94 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.01.17 | Vilkaviskis | 89 : 82 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.11.01 | Ukmerges Stekas | 69 : 77 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.03.05 | Ukmerges Stekas | 88 : 84 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.02.12 | Vilkaviskis | 80 : 64 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.01.13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 87 : 90 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2022.10.07 | Vilkaviskis | 59 : 62 | Ukmerges Stekas |