Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
74 : 832023.03.04 · 종료
Rytas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.7%
VALUE EDGE+67.7%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsRytas 2
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.00
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 95-71L · 74-83W · 68-79L · 98-77L · 68-99
Rytas 2
W · 79-97W · 112-75L · 101-81W · 93-83W · 98-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Rytas 2 | 62 : 74 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.01.03 | Rytas 2 | 71 : 74 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.31 | Neptunas 2 | 76 : 66 | Rytas 2 |
| 2025.02.12 | Rytas 2 | 90 : 81 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.01.25 | Neptunas 2 | 61 : 65 | Rytas 2 |
| 2024.10.04 | Rytas 2 | 59 : 81 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.03.04 | Neptunas 2 | 74 : 83 | Rytas 2 |
| 2023.02.12 | Rytas 2 | 98 : 77 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.11.19 | Neptunas 2 | 73 : 69 | Rytas 2 |
| 2022.11.18 | Rytas 2 | 79 : 90 | Neptunas 2 |