Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania

KretingaHOME · -
74 : 892023.03.04 · 종료
Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.0%
VALUE EDGE+52.0%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
KretingaAnalysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
172.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.83
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation1.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 79-97W · 66-79W · 91-73L · 93-61L · 90-75
Delikatesas Joniskis
W · 76-67L · 81-105L · 112-75W · 90-75L · 89-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.22 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 88 : 98 | Kretinga |
| 2024.12.08 | Kretinga | 86 : 74 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2024.11.16 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 106 : 88 | Kretinga |
| 2023.03.04 | Kretinga | 74 : 89 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2023.02.11 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 90 : 75 | Kretinga |
| 2022.12.10 | Kretinga | 80 : 86 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2022.10.29 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 73 : 86 | Kretinga |