Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
VilkaviskisHOME · -
95 : 712023.03.03 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
VilkaviskisAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
165.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vilkaviskis
W · 81-105L · 91-73W · 93-61W · 80-64W · 68-99
Neptunas 2
L · 74-83W · 68-79L · 98-77L · 68-99L · 65-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.12 | Vilkaviskis | 72 : 62 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.10 | Neptunas 2 | 81 : 82 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.03.10 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 83 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.03.08 | Vilkaviskis | 81 : 69 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.11.23 | Vilkaviskis | 93 : 78 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.11.22 | Neptunas 2 | 73 : 64 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.03.03 | Vilkaviskis | 95 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.02.10 | Neptunas 2 | 68 : 99 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.01.18 | Vilkaviskis | 73 : 72 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.10.21 | Neptunas 2 | 66 : 73 | Vilkaviskis |