Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Delikatesas JoniskisHOME · -
76 : 672023.03.03 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
Delikatesas JoniskisAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-6.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
180.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation0.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Delikatesas Joniskis
L · 81-105L · 112-75W · 90-75L · 89-67W · 65-81
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 79-72W · 101-81L · 93-83L · 80-64W · 89-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.01 | Ukmerges Stekas | 97 : 72 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2024.12.11 | Ukmerges Stekas | 101 : 79 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2024.10.18 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 75 : 81 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.03 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 76 : 67 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.02.10 | Ukmerges Stekas | 89 : 67 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2022.11.20 | Ukmerges Stekas | 75 : 82 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2022.11.18 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 90 : 72 | Ukmerges Stekas |