Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
79 : 722023.02.26 · 종료
Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.75
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 101-81L · 93-83L · 80-64W · 89-67W · 94-75
Palangos Kursiai
L · 66-79W · 74-83L · 68-79W · 79-73W · 69-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.26 | Ukmerges Stekas | 79 : 72 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2023.01.28 | Palangos Kursiai | 64 : 81 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.12.09 | Ukmerges Stekas | 91 : 80 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.10.28 | Palangos Kursiai | 70 : 76 | Ukmerges Stekas |