Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Vytis VDUHOME · -
73 : 752023.02.18 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.8%
VALUE EDGE+57.8%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADES
Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
185.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
191.00
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
8.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vytis VDU
W · 70-72W · 71-86L · 83-89L · 77-86L · 74-69
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 72-62L · 70-66W · 75-87W · 90-60L · 71-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | Vytis VDU | 104 : 92 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.03.07 | Vytis VDU | 81 : 92 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.01.28 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 77 : 87 | Vytis VDU |
| 2025.10.17 | Vytis VDU | 84 : 96 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.02.28 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 103 : 90 | Vytis VDU |
| 2024.12.18 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 79 : 84 | Vytis VDU |
| 2024.10.25 | Vytis VDU | 90 : 100 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.03.01 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 63 : 72 | Vytis VDU |
| 2023.02.18 | Vytis VDU | 73 : 75 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2022.12.22 | Vytis VDU | 68 : 64 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |