Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
VilkaviskisHOME · -
80 : 642023.02.12 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.8%
VALUE EDGE+70.8%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
VilkaviskisAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
165.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vilkaviskis
W · 68-99L · 69-68L · 82-87L · 90-91W · 73-72
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 89-67W · 94-75W · 64-81W · 102-65W · 53-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.06 | Vilkaviskis | 97 : 74 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2026.01.30 | Vilkaviskis | 78 : 63 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.10.03 | Ukmerges Stekas | 72 : 94 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.01.17 | Vilkaviskis | 89 : 82 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.11.01 | Ukmerges Stekas | 69 : 77 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.03.05 | Ukmerges Stekas | 88 : 84 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.02.12 | Vilkaviskis | 80 : 64 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.01.13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 87 : 90 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2022.10.07 | Vilkaviskis | 59 : 62 | Ukmerges Stekas |