Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
89 : 672023.02.10 · 종료
Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.00
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 94-75W · 64-81W · 102-65W · 53-62L · 87-90
Delikatesas Joniskis
W · 65-81W · 82-78W · 90-91L · 73-75L · 77-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.01 | Ukmerges Stekas | 97 : 72 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2024.12.11 | Ukmerges Stekas | 101 : 79 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2024.10.18 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 75 : 81 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.03 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 76 : 67 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.02.10 | Ukmerges Stekas | 89 : 67 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2022.11.20 | Ukmerges Stekas | 75 : 82 | Delikatesas Joniskis |
| 2022.11.18 | Delikatesas Joniskis | 90 : 72 | Ukmerges Stekas |