Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
68 : 992023.02.10 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.6%
VALUE EDGE+55.6%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsVilkaviskis
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 65-81L · 85-77L · 102-65L · 73-72L · 53-62
Vilkaviskis
L · 69-68L · 82-87L · 90-91W · 73-72W · 77-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.12 | Vilkaviskis | 72 : 62 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.10 | Neptunas 2 | 81 : 82 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.03.10 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 83 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.03.08 | Vilkaviskis | 81 : 69 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.11.23 | Vilkaviskis | 93 : 78 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.11.22 | Neptunas 2 | 73 : 64 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.03.03 | Vilkaviskis | 95 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.02.10 | Neptunas 2 | 68 : 99 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2023.01.18 | Vilkaviskis | 73 : 72 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.10.21 | Neptunas 2 | 66 : 73 | Vilkaviskis |