Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

Neptunas 2HOME · -

65 : 812023.02.04 · 종료

Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY58.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +58.7%

VALUE EDGE+58.7%

FAIR ODDS1.70

GRADEA

Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00

151.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.83

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.2 / 15

Prediction separation7.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

41.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

58.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Neptunas 2

L · 85-77L · 102-65L · 73-72L · 53-62L · 97-68

Delikatesas Joniskis

W · 82-78W · 90-91L · 73-75L · 77-76L · 70-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.02.08	Neptunas 2	77 : 95	Delikatesas Joniskis
2025.01.18	Delikatesas Joniskis	98 : 92	Neptunas 2
2024.11.02	Neptunas 2	102 : 79	Delikatesas Joniskis
2023.03.12	Delikatesas Joniskis	86 : 77	Neptunas 2
2023.02.04	Neptunas 2	65 : 81	Delikatesas Joniskis