Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
94 : 752023.02.04 · 종료
KretingaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsKretinga
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.67
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 64-81W · 102-65W · 53-62L · 87-90L · 72-70
Kretinga
W · 85-77L · 94-74L · 79-85L · 100-67W · 71-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | Kretinga | 95 : 99 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2026.01.16 | Kretinga | 113 : 79 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.11.21 | Ukmerges Stekas | 98 : 88 | Kretinga |
| 2025.02.07 | Kretinga | 75 : 77 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.12.21 | Ukmerges Stekas | 76 : 58 | Kretinga |
| 2024.10.27 | Kretinga | 69 : 64 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.03.12 | Kretinga | 63 : 90 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.02.04 | Ukmerges Stekas | 94 : 75 | Kretinga |
| 2022.12.23 | Ukmerges Stekas | 74 : 90 | Kretinga |
| 2022.11.27 | Kretinga | 72 : 85 | Ukmerges Stekas |