Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
85 : 772023.02.03 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.5%
VALUE EDGE+53.5%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
KretingaAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
172.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 94-74L · 79-85L · 100-67W · 71-75L · 63-77
Neptunas 2
L · 102-65L · 73-72L · 53-62L · 97-68W · 86-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.02 | Kretinga | 76 : 91 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.02.27 | Neptunas 2 | 86 : 58 | Kretinga |
| 2026.02.01 | Kretinga | 77 : 88 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.04 | Neptunas 2 | 98 : 71 | Kretinga |
| 2025.03.01 | Kretinga | 79 : 90 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.12.14 | Neptunas 2 | 97 : 89 | Kretinga |
| 2024.10.19 | Kretinga | 76 : 78 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.03.10 | Neptunas 2 | 92 : 77 | Kretinga |
| 2023.02.03 | Kretinga | 85 : 77 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.12.02 | Neptunas 2 | 67 : 81 | Kretinga |