Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
71 : 882023.01.29 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsMazeikiai
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
191.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
L · 67-59L · 71-75L · 77-53W · 78-58L · 69-65
Mazeikiai
W · 74-69W · 62-90W · 76-67L · 86-84W · 63-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.20 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 102 : 74 | Mazeikiai |
| 2026.01.10 | Mazeikiai | 78 : 91 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.11.26 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 72 : 93 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.04.23 | Mazeikiai | 65 : 69 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.02.25 | Mazeikiai | 71 : 62 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2023.01.29 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 71 : 88 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.12.16 | Mazeikiai | 63 : 74 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2022.10.20 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 85 : 73 | Mazeikiai |