Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
64 : 812023.01.28 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
W · 79-85L · 62-90L · 78-72W · 82-73W · 70-79
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 102-65W · 53-62L · 87-90L · 72-70L · 81-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.26 | Ukmerges Stekas | 79 : 72 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2023.01.28 | Palangos Kursiai | 64 : 81 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.12.09 | Ukmerges Stekas | 91 : 80 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.10.28 | Palangos Kursiai | 70 : 76 | Ukmerges Stekas |