Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

KretingaHOME · -

79 : 852023.01.27 · 종료

Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY53.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +53.6%

VALUE EDGE+53.6%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

KretingaAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-8.67 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

172.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

12.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 12.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.4 / 15

Prediction separation3.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

46.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

53.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kretinga

L · 100-67W · 71-75L · 63-77L · 83-74W · 74-90

Palangos Kursiai

L · 62-90L · 78-72W · 82-73W · 70-79L · 86-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.24	Palangos Kursiai	66 : 79	Kretinga
2023.01.27	Kretinga	79 : 85	Palangos Kursiai
2022.12.16	Palangos Kursiai	61 : 80	Kretinga
2022.10.21	Kretinga	55 : 68	Palangos Kursiai