Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Neptunas 2HOME · -
53 : 622023.01.14 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.2%
VALUE EDGE+64.2%
FAIR ODDS1.56
GRADEA
Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
151.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation12.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Neptunas 2
L · 97-68W · 86-84W · 76-63L · 78-58W · 63-77
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 87-90L · 72-70L · 81-83L · 74-90L · 74-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.04 | Ukmerges Stekas | 64 : 87 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.02.20 | Neptunas 2 | 77 : 70 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.10.11 | Ukmerges Stekas | 70 : 91 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.02.21 | Ukmerges Stekas | 84 : 77 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.01.11 | Ukmerges Stekas | 91 : 74 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.10.12 | Neptunas 2 | 85 : 67 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2023.01.27 | Ukmerges Stekas | 102 : 65 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.01.14 | Neptunas 2 | 53 : 62 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.11.13 | Ukmerges Stekas | 83 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |