Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
MazeikiaiHOME · -
76 : 672023.01.13 · 종료
TelsiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADES
MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsTelsiai
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+17.17
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.83
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mazeikiai
L · 86-84W · 63-77W · 75-66W · 84-89L · 63-74
Telsiai
W · 106-67L · 68-66W · 86-72W · 80-83W · 105-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Telsiai | 83 : 72 | Mazeikiai |
| 2026.03.06 | Mazeikiai | 74 : 86 | Telsiai |
| 2025.12.12 | Mazeikiai | 75 : 60 | Telsiai |
| 2025.10.10 | Telsiai | 93 : 92 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.03.05 | Telsiai | 83 : 67 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.02.03 | Mazeikiai | 72 : 71 | Telsiai |
| 2023.01.13 | Mazeikiai | 76 : 67 | Telsiai |
| 2022.11.11 | Telsiai | 85 : 69 | Mazeikiai |