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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
71 : 752023.01.13 · 종료
KretingaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsKretinga
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -8.67
191.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
L · 77-53W · 78-58L · 69-65L · 68-64W · 74-68
Kretinga
L · 63-77L · 83-74W · 74-90L · 77-78W · 61-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.24Kretinga85 : 101Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2026.02.08Kretinga64 : 104Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2025.11.29Zalgiris Kaunas 291 : 86Kretinga
2025.01.10Zalgiris Kaunas 287 : 73Kretinga
2024.10.11Kretinga65 : 90Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2023.01.13Zalgiris Kaunas 271 : 75Kretinga
2022.11.11Kretinga80 : 103Zalgiris Kaunas 2