Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

Neptunas 2HOME · -

86 : 842023.01.11 · 종료

MazeikiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY61.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.9%

VALUE EDGE+61.9%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEA

Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsMazeikiai

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -10.00

151.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

38.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

61.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Neptunas 2

W · 76-63L · 78-58W · 63-77L · 86-71L · 67-81

Mazeikiai

W · 63-77W · 75-66W · 84-89L · 63-74L · 61-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	Mazeikiai	77 : 90	Neptunas 2
2026.01.09	Neptunas 2	73 : 66	Mazeikiai
2025.10.24	Mazeikiai	92 : 61	Neptunas 2
2023.01.11	Neptunas 2	86 : 84	Mazeikiai
2022.10.29	Mazeikiai	88 : 77	Neptunas 2