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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Rytas 2HOME · -
77 : 532023.01.08 · 종료
Zalgiris Kaunas 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
Rytas 2Analysis MetricsZalgiris Kaunas 2
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-9.00 Point MarginHigher is better -2.67
163.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 191.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rytas 2
L · 75-66W · 112-83L · 95-83L · 77-82L · 88-81
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 78-58L · 69-65L · 68-64W · 74-68W · 63-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.06Zalgiris Kaunas 295 : 90Rytas 2
2026.03.06Zalgiris Kaunas 279 : 58Rytas 2
2025.11.14Rytas 281 : 67Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2024.11.30Zalgiris Kaunas 272 : 68Rytas 2
2024.11.08Rytas 281 : 69Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2023.01.08Rytas 277 : 53Zalgiris Kaunas 2
2022.11.06Zalgiris Kaunas 284 : 67Rytas 2