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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Kauno AtletasHOME · -
89 : 822023.01.07 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%
VALUE EDGE+61.6%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEB
Kauno AtletasAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-13.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.67
171.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.17
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kauno Atletas
W · 81-83L · 100-76W · 95-83W · 77-78W · 77-81
Vilkaviskis
L · 70-79L · 112-83L · 105-83L · 56-86L · 67-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.09Kauno Atletas76 : 84Vilkaviskis
2023.01.07Kauno Atletas89 : 82Vilkaviskis
2022.11.05Vilkaviskis76 : 67Kauno Atletas