Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania

KretingaHOME · -
63 : 772023.01.07 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEB
KretingaAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-8.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
172.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 83-74W · 74-90L · 77-78W · 61-80L · 80-86
Mazeikiai
W · 75-66W · 84-89L · 63-74L · 61-78W · 71-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.03 | Mazeikiai | 94 : 95 | Kretinga |
| 2025.10.31 | Kretinga | 81 : 84 | Mazeikiai |
| 2023.01.07 | Kretinga | 63 : 77 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.11.05 | Mazeikiai | 86 : 82 | Kretinga |