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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
63 : 772023.01.07 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEB
KretingaAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-8.67 Point MarginHigher is better -10.00
172.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 83-74W · 74-90L · 77-78W · 61-80L · 80-86
Mazeikiai
W · 75-66W · 84-89L · 63-74L · 61-78W · 71-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.01.03Mazeikiai94 : 95Kretinga
2025.10.31Kretinga81 : 84Mazeikiai
2023.01.07Kretinga63 : 77Mazeikiai
2022.11.05Mazeikiai86 : 82Kretinga