Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
81 : 832023.01.06 · 종료
Kauno AtletasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.1%
VALUE EDGE+59.1%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsKauno Atletas
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.00
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation7.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 74-90L · 74-68L · 80-83W · 91-80W · 93-75
Kauno Atletas
L · 100-76W · 95-83W · 77-78W · 77-81W · 68-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.06 | Ukmerges Stekas | 81 : 83 | Kauno Atletas |
| 2022.11.04 | Kauno Atletas | 73 : 77 | Ukmerges Stekas |