Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

VilkaviskisHOME · -

70 : 792023.01.06 · 종료

Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.3%

VALUE EDGE+54.3%

FAIR ODDS1.84

GRADEA

VilkaviskisAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

165.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement15.0 / 15

Prediction separation3.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vilkaviskis

L · 112-83L · 105-83L · 56-86L · 67-88L · 82-64

Palangos Kursiai

L · 86-72L · 61-80L · 77-81L · 91-80L · 66-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.03.12	Vilkaviskis	84 : 102	Palangos Kursiai
2023.02.04	Palangos Kursiai	69 : 68	Vilkaviskis
2023.01.06	Vilkaviskis	70 : 79	Palangos Kursiai
2022.11.04	Palangos Kursiai	90 : 86	Vilkaviskis