Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
78 : 582023.01.06 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsNeptunas 2
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
191.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
L · 69-65L · 68-64W · 74-68W · 63-74L · 69-75
Neptunas 2
W · 63-77L · 86-71L · 67-81L · 75-80L · 88-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.08 | Neptunas 2 | 89 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.04.04 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 75 : 79 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.04.02 | Neptunas 2 | 93 : 103 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.03.28 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 72 : 78 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.01.21 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 79 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.10.18 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 87 : 75 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.01.22 | Neptunas 2 | 80 : 91 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2024.10.26 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 84 : 73 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2023.01.06 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 78 : 58 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.11.04 | Neptunas 2 | 67 : 77 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |