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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Vytis VDUHOME · -
85 : 732022.12.21 · 종료
Delikatesas JoniskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Vytis VDUAnalysis MetricsDelikatesas Joniskis
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+7.33 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00
185.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vytis VDU
L · 84-89L · 73-71W · 69-75W · 69-86W · 71-100
Delikatesas Joniskis
L · 74-76W · 80-86W · 88-81L · 71-81L · 83-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.01.17Vytis VDU100 : 79Delikatesas Joniskis
2024.11.01Delikatesas Joniskis65 : 94Vytis VDU
2022.12.21Vytis VDU85 : 73Delikatesas Joniskis