Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Zalgiris Kaunas 2HOME · -
74 : 682022.12.18 · 종료
Ukmerges StekasAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.0%
VALUE EDGE+68.0%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Analysis MetricsUkmerges Stekas
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-2.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.08
191.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
W · 63-74L · 69-75W · 67-88W · 68-72W · 83-69
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 80-83W · 91-80W · 93-75W · 55-79W · 72-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.09 | Ukmerges Stekas | 108 : 87 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2026.01.03 | Ukmerges Stekas | 64 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2025.10.31 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 116 : 84 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.01.25 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 82 : 75 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2024.10.04 | Ukmerges Stekas | 81 : 71 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |
| 2022.12.18 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 74 : 68 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2022.10.22 | Ukmerges Stekas | 67 : 80 | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 |