Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

Ukmerges StekasHOME · -

80 : 832022.12.16 · 종료

TelsiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY61.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.3%

VALUE EDGE+61.3%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADEA

Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsTelsiai

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

-11.08 Point MarginHigher is better +17.17

164.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.83

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation9.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

38.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

61.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ukmerges Stekas

W · 91-80W · 93-75W · 55-79W · 72-85L · 75-80

Telsiai

W · 105-83L · 68-67W · 86-71W · 62-69W · 72-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.23	Telsiai	104 : 70	Ukmerges Stekas
2025.11.07	Telsiai	85 : 81	Ukmerges Stekas
2024.12.20	Telsiai	68 : 62	Ukmerges Stekas
2022.12.16	Ukmerges Stekas	80 : 83	Telsiai
2022.10.21	Telsiai	78 : 74	Ukmerges Stekas