Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Palangos KursiaiHOME · -
61 : 802022.12.16 · 종료
KretingaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Palangos KursiaiAnalysis MetricsKretinga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
158.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Palangos Kursiai
L · 77-81L · 91-80L · 66-71L · 93-76W · 75-80
Kretinga
L · 80-86W · 56-86L · 69-86L · 97-103W · 67-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.24 | Palangos Kursiai | 66 : 79 | Kretinga |
| 2023.01.27 | Kretinga | 79 : 85 | Palangos Kursiai |
| 2022.12.16 | Palangos Kursiai | 61 : 80 | Kretinga |
| 2022.10.21 | Kretinga | 55 : 68 | Palangos Kursiai |