Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
105 : 832022.12.10 · 종료
VilkaviskisAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.67
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.17
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
L · 68-67W · 86-71W · 62-69W · 72-93W · 92-71
Vilkaviskis
L · 56-86L · 67-88L · 82-64W · 63-81L · 74-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.17 | Telsiai | 94 : 70 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2026.03.07 | Telsiai | 72 : 77 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.12.20 | Telsiai | 86 : 83 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.10.18 | Vilkaviskis | 99 : 74 | Telsiai |
| 2025.04.17 | Telsiai | 78 : 76 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.04.15 | Vilkaviskis | 72 : 87 | Telsiai |
| 2025.04.12 | Telsiai | 89 : 74 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2025.03.01 | Vilkaviskis | 80 : 76 | Telsiai |
| 2025.01.18 | Telsiai | 95 : 84 | Vilkaviskis |
| 2024.11.02 | Vilkaviskis | 104 : 73 | Telsiai |