Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NKL Lithuania

Ukmerges StekasHOME · -

91 : 802022.12.09 · 종료

Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.9%

VALUE EDGE+62.9%

FAIR ODDS1.59

GRADEA

Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-11.08 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

164.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.7 / 15

Prediction separation11.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ukmerges Stekas

W · 93-75W · 55-79W · 72-85L · 75-80L · 85-83

Palangos Kursiai

L · 66-71L · 93-76W · 75-80L · 65-55L · 68-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.26	Ukmerges Stekas	79 : 72	Palangos Kursiai
2023.01.28	Palangos Kursiai	64 : 81	Ukmerges Stekas
2022.12.09	Ukmerges Stekas	91 : 80	Palangos Kursiai
2022.10.28	Palangos Kursiai	70 : 76	Ukmerges Stekas