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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
SiluteHOME · -
63 : 772022.12.09 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.6%
VALUE EDGE+81.6%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEB
SiluteAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+2.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42
166.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.58
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Silute
L · 93-75L · 72-61W · 84-52W · 74-79L · 69-73
Neptunas 2
L · 86-71L · 67-81L · 75-80L · 88-54W · 73-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.10Neptunas 273 : 70Silute
2026.03.14Silute84 : 85Neptunas 2
2026.01.16Neptunas 2109 : 68Silute
2025.11.21Silute83 : 77Neptunas 2
2025.02.28Neptunas 295 : 76Silute
2024.12.06Neptunas 273 : 65Silute
2024.11.15Silute80 : 69Neptunas 2
2022.12.09Silute63 : 77Neptunas 2
2022.10.28Neptunas 268 : 84Silute