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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
KretingaHOME · -
69 : 862022.12.07 · 종료
Vytis VDUAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADES
KretingaAnalysis MetricsVytis VDU
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-8.67 Point MarginHigher is better +7.33
172.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 185.50
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kretinga
L · 97-103W · 67-81L · 72-85L · 92-71L · 81-111
Vytis VDU
W · 71-100W · 93-76L · 82-74L · 63-81W · 85-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.13Vytis VDU107 : 98Kretinga
2026.04.11Vytis VDU90 : 85Kretinga
2026.04.09Kretinga69 : 75Vytis VDU
2026.04.01Kretinga78 : 96Vytis VDU
2026.03.28Vytis VDU91 : 95Kretinga
2026.01.30Vytis VDU84 : 79Kretinga
2025.10.03Kretinga78 : 89Vytis VDU
2025.03.09Kretinga88 : 102Vytis VDU
2025.03.07Vytis VDU94 : 93Kretinga
2024.12.13Kretinga90 : 86Vytis VDU