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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NKL Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
93 : 752022.12.04 · 종료
SiluteAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.3%
VALUE EDGE+51.3%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsSilute
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-11.08 Point MarginHigher is better +2.17
164.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.50
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
W · 55-79W · 72-85L · 75-80L · 85-83L · 75-82
Silute
L · 72-61W · 84-52W · 74-79L · 69-73W · 78-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.03Silute80 : 72Ukmerges Stekas
2026.02.21Ukmerges Stekas80 : 94Silute
2026.01.09Silute99 : 83Ukmerges Stekas
2025.10.24Ukmerges Stekas98 : 90Silute
2025.02.14Silute87 : 94Ukmerges Stekas
2024.11.30Silute83 : 71Ukmerges Stekas
2024.11.08Ukmerges Stekas75 : 69Silute
2022.12.04Ukmerges Stekas93 : 75Silute
2022.10.15Silute71 : 56Ukmerges Stekas