Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
86 : 712022.12.03 · 종료
Neptunas 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME87.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+87.3%
VALUE EDGE+87.3%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsNeptunas 2
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.58
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 62-69W · 72-93W · 92-71W · 74-69L · 84-76
Neptunas 2
L · 67-81L · 75-80L · 88-54W · 73-69W · 79-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.16 | Neptunas 2 | 72 : 85 | Telsiai |
| 2026.03.26 | Telsiai | 66 : 93 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.03.24 | Neptunas 2 | 78 : 53 | Telsiai |
| 2026.03.21 | Telsiai | 67 : 61 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2026.01.10 | Telsiai | 65 : 87 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2025.10.28 | Neptunas 2 | 62 : 81 | Telsiai |
| 2024.12.13 | Telsiai | 88 : 68 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2024.10.18 | Neptunas 2 | 64 : 73 | Telsiai |
| 2022.12.03 | Telsiai | 86 : 71 | Neptunas 2 |
| 2022.10.15 | Neptunas 2 | 67 : 91 | Telsiai |