Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

MazeikiaiHOME · -

82 : 642022.12.02 · 종료

VilkaviskisAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY51.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +51.6%

VALUE EDGE+51.6%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

MazeikiaiAnalysis MetricsVilkaviskis

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.67

169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.17

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation1.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

48.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

51.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mazeikiai

W · 82-74W · 72-61W · 75-80L · 84-77W · 84-73

Vilkaviskis

W · 63-81L · 74-79W · 69-73L · 99-79L · 64-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.11.13	Mazeikiai	103 : 96	Vilkaviskis
2026.02.28	Vilkaviskis	91 : 67	Mazeikiai
2025.12.19	Vilkaviskis	59 : 79	Mazeikiai
2025.10.17	Mazeikiai	91 : 85	Vilkaviskis
2022.12.02	Mazeikiai	82 : 64	Vilkaviskis
2022.10.14	Vilkaviskis	83 : 76	Mazeikiai