Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NKL Lithuania

Neptunas 2HOME · -

75 : 802022.11.26 · 종료

Palangos KursiaiAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 67.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.5%

VALUE EDGE+67.5%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADEA

Neptunas 2Analysis MetricsPalangos Kursiai

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.92

151.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.42

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Neptunas 2

L · 88-54W · 73-69W · 79-90L · 83-71L · 48-84

Palangos Kursiai

L · 65-55L · 68-80L · 79-72W · 91-77W · 73-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.18	Neptunas 2	74 : 83	Palangos Kursiai
2023.02.17	Palangos Kursiai	68 : 79	Neptunas 2
2022.11.26	Neptunas 2	75 : 80	Palangos Kursiai
2022.10.07	Palangos Kursiai	87 : 56	Neptunas 2