Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
Ukmerges StekasHOME · -
75 : 802022.11.25 · 종료
MazeikiaiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Ukmerges StekasAnalysis MetricsMazeikiai
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-11.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.00
164.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ukmerges Stekas
L · 85-83L · 75-82L · 90-72W · 83-71L · 92-99
Mazeikiai
L · 84-77W · 84-73W · 79-72L · 85-69W · 86-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Ukmerges Stekas | 74 : 70 | Mazeikiai |
| 2025.12.20 | Mazeikiai | 79 : 74 | Ukmerges Stekas |
| 2025.10.18 | Ukmerges Stekas | 88 : 82 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.11.25 | Ukmerges Stekas | 75 : 80 | Mazeikiai |
| 2022.10.08 | Mazeikiai | 75 : 65 | Ukmerges Stekas |