Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NKL
Lithuania
TelsiaiHOME · -
92 : 712022.11.25 · 종료
KretingaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.0%
VALUE EDGE+70.0%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADES
TelsiaiAnalysis MetricsKretinga
91.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+17.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.67
163.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.67
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
5.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Telsiai
W · 74-69L · 84-76L · 81-76W · 85-69W · 67-71
Kretinga
L · 81-111L · 89-63L · 80-103L · 86-82W · 87-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.14 | Kretinga | 75 : 89 | Telsiai |
| 2025.11.14 | Telsiai | 86 : 80 | Kretinga |
| 2024.11.29 | Telsiai | 91 : 77 | Kretinga |
| 2024.11.19 | Kretinga | 66 : 93 | Telsiai |
| 2022.11.25 | Telsiai | 92 : 71 | Kretinga |